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House price figures - June quarter
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#1
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APM has released this quarters figures: House prices still rising, but slowing Quote:
Property price fall in Perth's most expensive suburbs RP Data/Rismark to publish tomorrow, as does the ABS home price index. I'm still looking for construction figures - signs of an increase in residential construction, year on year, foretell a sooner rather than later burst.
__________________ Its not whether you are right or wrong that matters, but how much money you make when you're right and how much you don't lose when you're wrong - George Soros. www.empireinvesting.com.au |
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#2
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The ABS CPI figures already tell us that house purchase costs grew 1.1% in the quarter. Not exactly consistent is it? Look at it another way: with housing being 30%+ of people's expenses, a 15% increase in housing costs (lets assume for sake of the argument that rents follow purchase costs, as the spruikers would have us believe), we get an inflation contribution from housing alone in excess of 4.5% for those who do not already own a house. That'll get the Reserve to hold their fire! The ABS publishes its methodology in detail, APM seems to offer nothing by way of explanation of how they get their numbers. But they are "the leading provider of Automated Valuation Models (AVMs) to Australia's banking sector" so they must be good. |
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